Macroeconomic Forecast - April 2013
ISSN 1804‐7971
- Macroeconomic Forecast - April 2013PDF (894kB)
- Summary of the Forecast-2013-Q2PDF (121kB)
- Risks to the Forecast-2013-Q2PDF (81kB)
- A - Forecast Assumptions-2013-Q2PDF (316kB)
- B - Economic Cycle-2013-Q2PDF (239kB)
- C - Forecast of the Development of Macroeconomic Indicators-2013-Q2PDF (185kB)
- D - Monitoring of Other Institutions’ Forecasts-2013-Q2PDF (110kB)
- E - Looking back at 2012-2013-Q2PDF (135kB)
Tables and Graphs
- Tables and Graphs-2013-Q2PDF (349kB)
- C.1 Economic Output-2013-Q2PDF (161kB)
- C.2 Prices-2013-Q2PDF (162kB)
- C.3 Labour Market-2013-Q2PDF (151kB)
- C.4 External Relations-2013-Q2PDF (151kB)
- C.5 International Comparisons-2013-Q2PDF (129kB)
Macroeconomic Forecast in a Nutshell
Structure of the presentation
-
Forecast Assumptions
-
risks of the forecast
-
external environment
-
fiscal policy
-
monetary policy, interest rates and exchange rates
-
-
Economic Cycle
-
Forecast of Macroeconomic Indicators
-
economic output
-
inflation
-
labour market
-
external relations
-
Source: MOF - Financial Policy Department, April 2013.
Preparation of the Macroeconomic Forecast
Evaluation of Forecasting History at the Ministry of Finance
- Macroeconomic Forecasts at the MoF - A Look into the Rear-view Mirror (July 2011)-2013-Q2PDF (171kB)
- AnalytIQ – tools to assess the MoF forecasts’ accuracy and much more-2013-Q2ZIP (241kB)
- To run, the application requires Microsoft Excel 2010 or Microsoft Excel 2007. Macros need to be enabled.
- Updated: 12.04.2013
Information
-
The Macroeconomic Forecast is prepared by the Financial Policy Department of the Czech Ministry of Finance on a quarterly basis. It contains a forecast for the current and following years (i.e. until 2014) and for certain indicators an outlook for another 2 years (i.e. until 2016). As a rule, it is published in the second half of the first month of each quarter.
-
Any comments or suggestions that would help us to improve the quality of our publication and closer satisfy the needs of its users are welcome. Please direct any comments to the following email address:
macroeconomic.forecast(at)mfcr.cz -
Cut-off Date for Data Sources:
The forecast was made on the basis of data known as of March 25, 2013. No political decisions, newly released statistics, or world financial or commodity market developments could have been taken into account after this date.